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 20-05-13                     The latest market previews, analysis and intelligence

 

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Market previews and analysis – Please follow the links to read in full

 

 

May 20th 2013:  Waiting for the dollar correction 

 

April 29th 2013:  Ugly contest set to get uglier

 

April 24th 2013:  Sell any Sterling triple-dip relief 

 

April 22nd 2013:  Risk-off pushes Australian dollar towards parity

 

April 9th 2013:  Australian dollar close to peaking

 

March  18th 2013:  Political backlash will undermine Euro

 

March  11th 2013:  Dollar keeps winning least ugly contest 

 

March 4th 2013:  Europe close to panic mode

 

February  25th 2013:  Fed V Fed - Bernanke stays in control

 

February  18th 2013:  ECB must resist a stronger Euro

 

February  7th 2013:  Finger on the Sterling trigger 

 

February  4th 2013:  Make or break week for Sterling

 

January  30th 2013:  Bernanke needs to consider exit strategies

 

January  21st 2013:  Sterling will remain under pressure

 

January  14th 2013:  No-win situation for Sterling

 

January  7th 2013:  Currency war moves to Europe

 

December  10th 2012:  Weekly preview - Bernanke needs to say no 

 

December  3rd 2012:  Weekly preview - Selling inflated European optimism

 

November 26th 2012:  Weekly preview - Euro Compromised

 

November 19th 2012:  Weekly preview - Waiting to sell the Euro fantasy

 

November 12th 2012:  Weekly preview - Dollar paradox still in play

 

November 5th 2012:  Weekly preview - Surge in volatility following US election 

 

October 29th 2012:  Weekly preview - Crisis politics sink the Euro 

 

October 22nd 2012: Weekly preview - Toxic Euro politics boost dollar

 

October 15th 2012:  Weekly preview - Euro gains to reverse as rhetoric gap widens

 

October 8th 2012:  Weekly preview - Phony war offers short-term Euro protection only

 

October 1st 2012:  Weekly preview - Euro political cliff forces ECB's hand

 

September 24th 2012:  Weekly preview - No-win situation for Spain

 

September 17th 2012:  Weekly preview - Bernanke re-ignites currency wars

 

September 10th 2012:  Weekly preview - Tide of dissent protects the dollar

 

September 3rd 2012:  Weekly preview - Bazooka disappointment to weaken the Euro

 

August 27th 2012:  Weekly preview - Dollar to gain by default

 

August 20th 2012:  Weekly preview - Kite flying ahead of September storms 

 

August 13th 2012:  Weekly preview - Political storms to disrupt holiday season 

 

August 6th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Euro still in a no-win situation

 

July 30th 2012:  Weekly preview -  This week decides the Euro-zone's fate

 

July 16th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Dollar winded by Bernanke expectations

 

July 9th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Euro heading for Summer meltdown

 

June 25th 2012:  Weekly preview -  The Summit of all fears

 

June 18th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Men in black will keep Euro decline orderly

 

June 11th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Austerity backlash to reverse Euro gains

 

June 4th 2012:  Weekly preview -  Buy the Euro back, then sell aggressively

 

May 28th 2012:  Weekly preview - Too late to stop a Euro slump

 

May 21st 2012:  Weekly preview - Inertia will sink the Euro again

 

May 14th 2012:  Weekly preview - Brinkmanship will sink the Euro

 

May 12th 2012:  Moral Hazard will demand Greece's sacrifice

 

May 7th 2012:  Weekly preview - New European politics, new Euro low

 

May 3rd 2012:  Preview - Divisions on the ECB road-trip

 

April 30th 2012:  Weekly preview - Now is the Spring of our discontent

 

April 25th 2012:  Preview - Teflon Sterling to bounce back

 

April 23rd 2012:  Weekly preview - Bernanke holds the dollar in his hands

 

April 16th 2012:  Weekly preview - Keep selling the Euro rallies

 

April 9th 2012:  Weekly preview - Spotlight back on the Fed

 

April 2nd 2012:  Weekly preview - Don't buy the party mood

 

March 25th 2012:  Weekly preview - No forgiveness for Spain

 

March 21st 2012:  Preview - Budget gloss can't hide UK vulnerability

 

March 18th 2012:  Weekly preview - Central banks narrow the ranges

 

March 11th 2012:  Weekly preview - Bernanke rejects a strong dollar

 

March 4th 2012:  Weekly preview - Euro to stay under pressure

 

February 26th 2012:  Weekly preview - ECB caution to support dollar base

 

February 19th 2012:  Weekly preview - Sell the Euro rally

 

February 9th 2012:  Preview - BOE decision boost for Sterling

 

February 5th 2012:  Weekly preview - Risk appetite set to freeze

 

January 29th 2012:  Weekly preview - Is the firewall strong enough?

 

January 25th 2012:  Preview - Bank of England edges away from the abyss

 

January 22nd 2012:  Weekly preview - Keeping fear in check

 

January 17th 2012:  Preview - UK inflation decline will offer buying opportunity

 

January 15th 2012:  Weekly preview - Yet another test of conviction

 

January 8th 2012:  Weekly preview - Trying to reverse the vicious circle

 

January 3rd 2012:  Preview - Sterling looks for positive PMI surprise

 

December 30th 2011:  2012 preview - Dollar to remain unloved, but unavoidable

 

December 28th 2011:  2012 preview - Sterling, a year of living dangerously

 

December 27th 2011:  2012 preview - Australian dollar set for tough year

 

December 18th 2011:  Weekly preview - Winding down or a ratings wind-up?

 

December 14th 2011:  Preview - Risk appetite dependent on PMI resilience

 

December 13th 2011:  Preview - UK inflation a short-term distraction

 

December 12th 2011:  Waiting for the EU Summit verdict

 

December 11th 2011:  Weekly preview - Banking sector holds the key

 

December 8th 2011:  Preview - Bank of England prepares for the worst

 

December 6th 2011:  5 reasons why a saved Euro would be a weak Euro

 

December 5th 2011:  Preview - PMI data vital for Bank of England

 

December 4th 2011:  Preview - This week really does matter

 

November 27th 2011:  Weekly preview - A point of no return?

 

November 20th 2011:  Weekly preview - Hope and fear will continue to trade blows

 

November 16th 2011:  7 ways to trade a German U-turn

 

November 15th 2011:  Preview - Markets in no mood for negative GDP surprises

 

November 13th 2011:  Weekly preview - Storm centre moves to France

 

November 9th 2011:  Betting on a Euro break-up through Sterling

 

November 6th 2011:  Weekly preview - Euro-zone fuse burning at both ends

 

November 3rd 2011:  Preview - ECB can unite around interest rate cut

 

November 1st 2011:  Preview - Mind the GDP gap, a vital two minutes for Sterling

 

October 30th 2011:  Weekly preview - Draghi's dilemma, will he be forced to abandon Italy?

 

October 18th 2011:  Preview - High inflation won't support Sterling

 

October 16th 2011:  Preview - Markets call time on Euro elite

 

October 9th 2011:  Preview - Volatility spike as economics and politics collide

 

October 6th 2011:  Preview - Bank of England to take the plunge

 

September 28th 2011:  German yes vote won't hide growing divisions

 

September 26th 2011:  Euro irony - If the plan works, the currency will weaken

 

September 24th 2011:  10 policy options for this weekend - Time for the Mandarin Accord?

 

September 24th 2011:  Policy must change - the Euro-zone is out of time

 

September 21st 2011:  Preview - Bank of England dragged closer to more QE

 

September 20th 2011:  Perfect storm threatens to engulf Australian dollar

 

September 19th 2011:  7 reasons why the dollar is the best of a very bad bunch

 

September 18th 2011:  Can't pay, won't pay - timing Greece's default

 

September 15th 2011:  Preview - No retail therapy likely for Sterling

 

September 14th 2011:  Prolonging Greece's agony won't help the Euro

 

September 13th 2011:  Preview - Inflation increasingly irrelevant to UK policy debate

 

September 9th 2011:  G7 must act to avoid 'Black Monday' crisis

 

September 8th 2011:  Preview - Bank of England will consider further quantitative easing

 

September 8th 2011:  Preview - Trichet needs to find an ECB escape route

 

September 7th 2011:  Preview - Euro should survive Historic German Court ruling

 

September 6th 2011:  Greek Euro exit likely within days 

 

September 6th 2011:  Preview - More cautious Reserve Bank to weaken Australian dollar 

 

September 5th 2011:  Preview - PMI test for Sterling's safe-haven status 

 

September 4th 2011:  Weekly preview  -  New term, Greece set to be expelled?

 

September 2nd 2011:  Preview  -  Dollar win-win situation from payroll release?

 

September 1st 2011:  Preview  -  PMI releases to set September tone

 

September 1st 2011:  Preview  -  Crucial Australian data releases on Thursday

 

August 31st 2011:  Preview  -  Inflation fall would trigger ECB U-turn

 

August 30th 2011:  Preview  -  Battle scars will be revealed in the FOMC minutes

 

August 25th 2011:  Preview  -  Major Australian dollar move following Bernanke

 

August 24th 2011:  Preview  -  Big impact on risk conditions from German IFO release

 

August 23rd 2011:  Preview  -  German industrial sentiment vital for Euro prospects

 

August 22nd 2011: Analysis - China losing the Euro faith?

 

August 21st 2011:  Weekly preview - Looking for a fire-break

 

August 19th 2011:  Preview - Receipts vital in latest UK government borrowing data

 

August 18th 2011:  Preview - Will the retail sales data help Sterling defy gravity?

 

August 17th 2011:  Quantitative easing debate crucial in BOE minutes

 

August 16th 2011:  7 reasons not to peg the Swiss franc to the Euro

 

August 16th 2011: PreviewUK inflation target abandoned as recession fears dominate

 

August 14th 2011: Weekly previewGerman angst, Swiss anger

 

August 10th 2011: PreviewKing to keep Bank of England pessimism in check

 

August 9th 2011: Analysis - Looking for a safe-haven as markets panic

 

August 7th 2011: Analysis - 24 hours to save the Euro – fiscal union or bust

 

August 4th 2011: Preview - Is the ECB prepared to save Italy?

 

August 3rd 2011: Preview - PMI services slump would trigger Bank of England action

 

August 2nd 2011: Analysis - Dollar back in the safe-haven game

 

August 1st 2011: Preview - Reserve Bank rate hike would be overkill

 

August 1st 2011: Preview - PMI data to test Sterling’s defensive credentials

 

July 31st 2011:  Weekly preview - Assessing the damage

 

July 27th 2011:  10 reasons to avoid the Australian dollar

 

July 26th 2011:  Preview - Sterling to retreat ahead of key GDP release

 

July 24th 2011:  Weekly preview - Turning drama into a crisis

 

July 21st 2011:  Preview - UK economy and Sterling must avoid unwanted attention

 

July 20th 2011:  Preview - Cautious BOE pessimism to nudge Sterling weaker

 

July 16th 2011:  Weekly preview - 6 figures face a critical test of leadership

 

July 15th 2011:  Preview - New York PMI, will the Empire strike back?

 

July 13th 2011:  5 reasons why the Euro isn’t trading much weaker

 

July 10th 2011:  Weekly preview – Desperately seeking sanctuary

 

July 7th 2011:  Preview – Time for the ECB to hit pause button

 

July 6th 2011:  Preview – ISM data will take Main Street pulse

 

July 5th 2011:  Preview – Sterling at a tipping point ahead of PMI release

 

July 3rd 2011:  Weekly preview – ECB needs to send the correct message

 

July 1st 2011:  Preview – UK PMI trends critical for Sterling outlook

 

July 1st 2011:  Preview – Chicago hope for the US PMI index

 

June 29th 2011:  Preview – 10 reactions to watch after the Greek vote

 

June 28th 2011:  Preview – Inflation hearings to deliver more Sterling pain

 

June 26th 2011:  Weekly preview – Looking beyond the Greek showdown

 

June 25th 2011:  Dollar to gain from fear as policy faults exposed

 

June 23rd 2011:  Bank fears to push Sterling sharply lower 

 

June 22nd 2011: Preview - Limited Sterling losses on Bank of England pessimism

 

June 19th 2011: Weekly market preview - Major banks not buying Greek rescue plan

 

June 18th 2011: Analysis - Germany blinks, but Euro still faces bleak future

 

June 16th 2011: Preview - Warnings from a weak Philly Fed survey

 

June 14th 2011: Preview - Rumours to cloud UK unemployment release

 

May 28th 2011: Weekly market preview - Euro leaders must think the unthinkable

 

May 23rd 2011: Market Analysis -  Time is running out for the UK economy and Sterling 

 

May 22nd 2011: Weekly Market Preview -  Policy vacuum leaves Euro vulnerable 

 

May 18th 2011: Market Preview -  Minutes to show further Bank of England splits 

 

May 17th 2011: Market Preview -  High inflation won't support Sterling

 

May 15th 2011: Weekly market Preview -  Euro leaders face pivotal week

 

May 11th 2011: Market Preview -  Sterling to survive Bank of England pessimism

 

May 9th 2011: Weekly Market Preview -  Reality check to provide further dollar respite

 

May 5th 2011: Market Preview -  UK PMI data to trigger another Sterling sell-off?

 

May 4th 2011: Market Preview -  ECB rate call will determine 1.50 or 1.45

 

May 3rd 2011: Market Preview - Weak UK PMI data would increase Bank of England stresses

 

May 1st 2011: Market Preview - ECB veteran Trichet returns to the stage

 

April 26th 2011: Market Preview - UK GDP circus back in town

 

April 25th 2011: - Who will Bernanke be talking to?

 

April 22nd 2011 - 3 things to worry about this weekend

 

April 17th 2011 - Political noose tightens around Euro 

 

April 10th 2011 - Fed divisions in focus 

 

April 3rd 2011 - ECB Stand and deliver

 

March 27th 2011 - Have European leaders miscalculated?

 

 

The Daily analysis - contains previews of the day's key economic events. What to expect and strategies on how to profit from likely developments.  With full analysis of the major currencies, it is essential reading for currency-market professionals.